Shopify — Orders

MER — March 2026 (break-even: 2.54x)

2.36x

2.53x vs Feb 2026

GMV — March 2026 (KES)

1,183,396 KES

1,448,568 KES vs Feb 2026

Orders — March 2026

540

744 vs Feb 2026

Gross Margin % (est. GMV - COGS 39.9% - fulfillment 15%)

45.1%

45.1% vs Feb 2026

Pixel Coverage % (Meta purchases / Shopify orders)

72.2%

73.6% vs Feb 2026

Net P&L — March 2026 (KES)

-52,559 KES

-13,097 KES vs Feb 2026

MER below break-even (2.36x vs 2.54x target). Pixel coverage 72.2% — below 90% target. Net P&L negative at -52,559 KES. Gross margin % estimated at 45.1% (COGS 39.9% + fulfillment 15%). COGS per-SKU data unavailable; blended estimate used. Source: Shopify orders March 2026 (540 orders, 1,183,396 KES GMV) + Meta placement_insights W3 (500,769 KES spend).


Monthly Order Volume

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Monthly AOV Distribution (KES) — P25 / Median / P75

Mean hides skew. Distribution reveals structure: P25 collapsed from ~1,000 KES to ~310 KES starting Nov-2025 (low-value orders flooded in), while P75 stayed ~2,200-2,800 KES. Median ~1,500 KES is the honest center.

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P25 / median / P75 / mean per month. P25-P75 = interquartile range (middle 50% of orders). Mean ≫ median = right-skewed distribution.


Revenue by Payment Gateway

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IntaSend totals 11.98M KES (5928 tx). COD 2.94M KES (1421 tx) — concentrated in 2024-08 through 2025-10, zero from 2025-11 onward. Manual 540K KES (204 tx). Monthly COD split reconstructed from order-level aggregates; current-snapshot total matches transactions parquet.


Order Details — Monthly

No Results

Ad spend + MER stubbed for 2024 (Meta placement_insights W3 run covers 2025-01 → 2026-04 only). Pre-2025 spend marked 0 / MER NULL. Source: data/agent_runs/2026-04-23_2219_human_shopify_orders_bulk/output/orders.parquet (8993 orders) + data/agent_runs/2026-04-23_2225_human_shopify_transactions_explode/output/transactions.parquet.